My NFL Picks Week 6: Mahomes and the Chiefs put undefeated record on the line at Patriots

The game of the week is scheduled for the Sunday night slot when QB Patrick Mahomes leads the 5-0 Chiefs into Foxborough to take on the Tom Brady-led Patriots. Other highlights of the Week 6 slate include the Bears visiting the Dolphins in a battle of surprising three-win teams and an AFC North rivalry game pitting the Steelers against the Bengals in Cincinnati. This week also features the first London game of the season, with the Seahawks and Raiders battling it out at Wembley Stadium. I went 7-8 last week, giving me an overall record of 34-54 for the season. As always, I’m using the lines from ESPN’s Pigskin Pick ‘Em game. My picks are in bold and my survivor pool pick (straight up, not ATS) is in red

Byes: Lions, Saints

Thursday Night Football

Eagles at Giants (+2.5) – The Super Bowl LII champion Eagles head to New Jersey to take on their division-rival Giants. The Eagles announced this week that RB Jay Ajayi will miss the remainder of the season with a torn ACL, leaving the bulk of the running-back duties to Corey Clement and Wendell Smallwood. On the other side of the field, the Giants are dealing with drama with star WR Odell Beckham calling out veteran QB Eli Manning in a recent interview. The Eagles are underperforming compared to expectations for this season, but they’re still a better team than the Giants so I’m going to give the points on the road.

Sunday 1PM games

Buccaneers at Falcons (-3.5) – Buccaneers QB Jameis Winston makes his first start of the season after serving a three-game suspension and serving as the backup to Ryan Fitzpatrick for his first game back. Falcons QB Matt Ryan is dealing with a foot injury but is expected to play in Sunday’s game. He’ll have to do a better job of getting the ball to WR Julio Jones, who still doesn’t have a receiving touchdown this season, for the Atlanta offense to get its act together. I think this will be a close game and I expect the Falcons to win, but I think the Buccaneers stay within 3.5 points.

Bills at Texans (-7.5) – Both of these teams are 2-3 entering this game, but the Texans are clearly the better team. The Bills don’t have any playmakers on offense other than RB LeSean McCoy — who is reportedly on the trade block — whereas the Texans have QB Deshaun Watson and WRs DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller, as well as rookie WR Keke Coutee, who has 17  catches in his first two career games in Weeks 4 and 5. Defensively, DL Jadeveon Clowney and DE J.J. Watt should be able to limit the Bills offense, led by QB Josh Allen, enough for the Texans to win the game, but I will again be taking the points with the road team.

Bears at Dolphins (+2.5) – The Bears are coming off their bye, which came after QB Mitch Trubisky threw for six touchdowns in their Week 4 contest against the Bucs. The Dolphins, on the other hand, have dropped two in a row after beginning the season 3-0. I think they’ll be dropping to 3-3 after this game because LB Khalil Mack and the Bears defense will likely be too much for Dolphins QB Ryan Tannehill and the rest of the offense to deal with. Bears win easily.

Steelers at Bengals (-2.5) – The Bengals are the best team in the AFC North early in the season, and this week they’re taking on the Steelers, who have been at the top of the division for much of the last decade or so. But the Steelers have had a struggling defense this season, which I think will allow Bengals QB Andy Dalton, WR A.J. Green and RB Joe Mixon to put some points on the board. I’m going with the home team to improve to 5-1.

Chargers at Browns (+0.5) – The Browns are coming off their second win of the season and now face the Chargers at home. Rookie QB Baker Mayfield has played well for Cleveland, but now he will have to try to keep up with veteran Chargers QB Philip Rivers to give the Browns to get their first back-to-back wins since October-November 2014. I don’t think the Browns are in the Chargers’ league yet and I’m surprised the spread is just half-a-point, so I’m going to give the points on the road.

Colts at Jets (-2.5) – The Jets are coming off a surprisingly convincing victory against the Broncos and now face a Colts team with a defense that isn’t as good as Denver’s. The Jets offense looked good last week, with WR Robby Anderson having his  best game of the season and RB Isaiah Crowell setting a franchise record with 219 rushing yards. I think the Jets win and cover.

Seahawks at Raiders (+2.5) – The Raiders are the designated home team for this London duel  and searching for their second victory of the season. i don’t think they’ll get it, though, because the Seahawks seem to be getting better on both offense and defense of late. I think Seahawks QB Russell Wilson will outplay Raiders QB Derek Carr in this one. Seahawks win by at least a field goal to cover.

Cardinals at Vikings (-10.5) – The Cardinals notched their first victory of 2018 on Sunday and now look to make it two in a row this week at the Vikings. It’ll be a tall order for rookie QB Josh Rosen to lead his team to victory on the road against the team that just missed making it to the Super Bowl last season. It is unknown if the Vikings will have RB Dalvin Cook, who missed last week’s win over the Eagles with a hamstring injury, and RB Latavius Murray will get another start if he can’t go. Whoever is the lead running back in the game will likely take a back seat to the receiving duo of WRs Adam Thielen ane Stefon Diggs, who will be the focus of the offense for QB Kirk Cousins. The Vikings win the game, but I don’t think they’ll cover the 10.5-point spread.

Panthers at Redskins (-1.5) – The Panthers are underdogs on the road against a Redskins team that just lost to the Saints by 24 points on Monday night and now have a short week to prepare for Carolina. Even though they’re on the road, I’m surprised the Panthers are the underdogs because I think they’re going to win the game outright. I’m taking the points.

Sunday 4PM games

Rams at Broncos (+6.5) – The Broncos are coming off a loss to the Jets, and now the defense has to face one of the league’s best offenses in the Rams. Two of the Rams top receivers — Cooper Kupp and Brandin Cooks — entered the concussion protocol in Sunday’s game, but the team is confident both players will be able to play this week. If they play, it will be easier for the Rams to remain undefeated, as they wouldn’t have to rely so much on RB Todd Gurley. Assuming all their receivers play, I think the Rams will win by at least a touchdown, so I’ll give the points.

Jaguars at Cowboys (+2.5) – The middling Cowboys offense faces a formidable test this week against a good Jaguars defense. Offensively, the Jaguars are still without RB Leonard Fournette, and they signed veteran RB Jamaal Charles to help with depth at the position, although RB T.J. Yeldon should continue to get the bulk of the workload in Fournette’s absence. I don’t think the Cowboys will be able to score many points, so the Jags should win easily.

Ravens at Titans (+2.5) – The Ravens are looking to bounce back after losing to the Browns on Sunday, and they’ll do it in a game against a Titans team that has been inconsistent through the first five weeks of the season. Both teams are 3-2, but I think the Ravens are the better squad of the two. I think Ravens QB Joe Flacco will outplay his counterpart Marcus Mariota enough for the Ravens to

Sunday Night Football

Chiefs at Patriots (-3.5) – This game that pits one of the best quarterbacks of this generation — and possibly ever — against one of the rising stars at the position. The rising star is Mahomes, who has led the Chiefs to a 5-0 start in his first full season as the team’s starter. On the other side, Brady continues to perform well for the Patriots. Mahomes faced his biggest challenge to date last week and succeeded, as the Chiefs beat the Jaguars 30-14. In that game, the Chiefs went against a tough offense. In this one, the challenge is going up against Brady and an offense that includes WR Julian Edelman, TE Rob Gronkowski and RB Sony Michel. Mahomes has some good weapons at his disposal, as well, namely RB Kareem Hunt and WR Tyreek Hill. This will be a high-scoring game, and I think it’ll be close. I think the Chiefs win outright — as they did when they played the Patriots last season — so I’ll take the points on the road.

Monday Night Football

49ers at Packers (-9.5) – The week ends with a bit of an underwhelming matchup as Aaron Rodgers and the Packers host the C.J. Beathard-led 49ers. There would be more excitement about this game if Jimmy Garoppolo was under center for the 49ers, but since he is injured this likely won’t be a close game. A 9.5-point spread is big, but I think the Packers can cover it against a 49ers team that isn’t great.

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2 thoughts on “My NFL Picks Week 6: Mahomes and the Chiefs put undefeated record on the line at Patriots

  1. Pingback: My NFL Picks Week 7: Brady leads Patriots into Chicago, Chiefs try to rebound from first loss | Thoughts From Scott

  2. Pingback: My NFL Picks: Conference Championships — Young quarterbacks battle Super Bowl-winning vets | Thoughts From Scott

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