Tag Archives: Falcons

4th Annual 32 in 32ish NFL Previews: Buffalo Bills

The AFC East is the next division in our previews of all 32 NFL teams, beginning with the Buffalo Bills, who finished in third place in the division last season.

It’s been 20 years since the Bills’ last postseason appearance back in 1999, and with some recent moves they’ve made to acquire draft picks they appear to be in a rebuilding mode so they probably won’t be in the playoffs anytime soon. Earlier this month, they made two essentially-simultaneous trades. In one, they sent WR Sammy Watkins to the Chargers for CB E.J. Gaines and a second-round pick in the 2018 draft. In the other, they acquired WR Jordan Matthews and a third-round draft pick next year from the Eagles in exchange for CB Ronald Darby. A few days before those trades, they signed veteran WR Anquan Boldin. That took an unexpected turn, though, last night when Boldin left the team and announced that he is retiring, leaving a hole in the Bills’ passing game. They also signed WR Andre Holmes and drafted East Carolina WR Zay Jones with their second-round pick, completely overhauling their receiving core.

QB Tyrod Taylor started 15 games last season, throwing for 3,023 yards and 17 touchdowns, with 6 interceptions. His leading pass-catcher was TE Charles Clay, who had 57 receptions for 552 yards and 4 touchdowns in 15 games. RB LeSean McCoy had 50 catches for 356 yards and 1 receiving touchdown, in addition to his 1,267 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns in 15 games. RB Jonathan Williams, who’s No. 2 on the depth chart, only had 27 carries last year, averaging 3.5 yards per attempt, with 1 touchdown. Among the newly acquired receivers, Matthews had 73 catches for 804 yards and 3 touchdowns in 14 games with Philadelphia. The offense was tied for the 10th-most points scored in the NFL last season while the defense was around the middle of the league in terms of points allowed.

With the new-look offense entering the regular season, it may take a little while for Taylor to get used to gain a rapport with his new receivers. Matthews is probably an upgrade over Watkins if only because of the latter’s inability to stay on the field, as he hasn’t played in all 16 games in a season since his rookie year. I thought Boldin was a good addition to provide a veteran who can help to mentor the team’s younger receivers. But his retirement will prevent that from happening. Holmes and Jones are wild cards on the team. Jones because you never know how long it’ll take a rookie to acclimate himself to the level of play in the NFL and Holmes because he hasn’t had much of a chance to be a primary part of a team’s offense, with his career high in targets being 99 in 2014; other than that season, he hasn’t had more than 52 targets in a year. McCoy has had five seasons in his career in which he has had more than 1,000 rushing yards so the Bills will likely rely on him to lead the offense again this year and not lean on Taylor to be the centerpiece of the offense.

The Bills begin their schedule at home in Week 1 against the Jets, who are widely thought to be the worst team in the league in 2017. A road game at the Panthers follows in Week 2, and then the Bills return home to host the Broncos in Week 3. Back-to-back road games are up next, at the Falcons in Week 4 and the Bengals in Week 5. The Bills have a Week 6 bye, then host the Buccaneers and Raiders in Weeks 7 and 8, respectively. The Bills get their lone primetime game in Week 9 when they visit the Jets on Thursday night. That gives them a few extra days of rest before they host the Saints in Week 10. After a couple road games against AFC West opponents, the Bills get their first of two games against the defending Super Bowl champion Patriots. It’s a home game in Week 13, followed by two more home games against the Colts and Dolphins in Weeks 14 and 15, respectively. The Bills face the Patriots again in Week 16, this time on the road, and they end their season on the road against the Dolphins in Week 17. I think the Bills are going to take a step back from their 7-9 season in 2016 and win five or six games this season.

Source: http://www.buffalobills.com, http://www.pro-football-reference.com

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4th Annual 32 in 32ish NFL Previews: Tampa Bay Buccaneers

As we conclude our previews of NFC South teams with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who are coming off a second-place finish last year, we reach the halfway point of our previews of all  32 NFL teams

The Buccaneers are on the upswing, coming off a 9-7 season, behind the arm of QB Jameis Winston. They had their first above-.500 season since 2010 despite starting RB Doug Martin missing half of the season between injury and suspension. And they’ll be without him for the first three games of 2017 as he serves another league-issued suspension. The team’s biggest free-agent signing was WR DeSean Jackson. Add him to the team, along with first-round draft pick Alabama TE O.J. Howard and it should give Winston two more strong options in the passing game.

Winston threw for 4,090 yards and 28 touchdowns last season, with 18 interceptions on the negative side of his ledger. The biggest beneficiary of his performance was WR Mike Evans, who made 96 receptions for 1,321 yards and 12 touchdowns. There was a big gap between him and the second-best pass-catcher, TE Cameron Brate, who caught 57 passes from Winston for 660 yards and 8 touchdowns. WR Adam Humphries had 55 catches for 622 yards and 2 touchdowns. With the Redskins last year, Jackson had 56 receptions for 1,005 yards and 4 touchdowns. RB Jacquizz Rodgers was the most productive runner in the ground game, rushing for 560 yards and 2 touchdowns on 129 carries in 10 games. Despite playing in just eight games, Martin had the most rushing attempts with 144, but he totaled just 421 yards with 3 touchdowns. Overall, the offense was tied for the 18th-most points in the league, with the defense ranking near the middle of the league in points allowed.

Entering his third year in the league, you would expect Winston to continue to improve as he gains more experience in the league and enters the prime of his career. Drafting Howard should give him a tight end who can put up better offensive numbers than they got out of the position last year, although Brate’s 8 touchdowns could be hard to top. Evans is one of the top receivers in the league, and adding Jackson gives the Bucs a legit No. 2 in the receiving game to better a passing attack that is already the best part of the offense. The running game continues to be a question mark with Martin already suspended three games — and who knows if he’ll miss time with injuries? He doesn’t have the best track record of staying healthy. He’s only played 16 games twice in his five-year career, running for more than 1,400 yards each time. If he can play in all 13 games after his suspension and put up that type of production, the team should be able to compete. If not, they probably won’t have much success without much of a run game.

Their schedule begins with a Week 1 road game at the Dolphins, where they’ll face out-of-retirement QB Jay Cutler, and that is followed up with a home game against Cutler’s former team, the Bears, in Week 2. The Bucs visit the Vikings in Week 3 and host the Giants the following week. Week 5 gives the Bucs a Thursday night game at home against the Super Bowl LI champion Patriots. They then head to the desert to visit the Cardinals in Week 6, followed by a game at the Bills in Week 7. Two divisional games follow, with the Panthers coming to town in Week 8 then the Bucs heading to the Superdome to face the Saints. They have a Week 11 bye, which is followed by two tough road games. The first is a Week 13 contest at the Falcons, followed by a visit to Lambeau Field in Week 14 to take on the Packers. The final three games of the Bucs’ season are against divisional foes, with a Monday night home game with the Falcons the first of the three in Week 15. That is followed by a road game against the Panthers and a Week 17 battle with the Saints in Tampa. I think the Bucs will win eight or nine games, so no improvement from last year. If Martin can get a 1,000-yard rushing season, maybe they can get another win but that’s about it.

Source: http://www.buccaneers.com, http://www.pro-football-reference.com

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4th Annual 32 in 32ish NFL Previews: New Orleans Saints

We continue in the NFC South as part of our previews of all 32 NFL teams, with the New Orleans Saints, who finished in third place in the division last season.

Saints QB Drew Brees gets a new offensive weapon to work with this season after the signing of longtime Vikings RB Adrian Peterson. He joins RB Mark Ingram as the top two players on the depth chart at the position. They also signed free-agent WR Ted Ginn. While they added Peterson and Ginn, they lost WR Brandin Cooks, sending him to the Patriots in a trade in which the Saints received draft picks, giving them two first-round picks, with which they chose Ohio State CB Marshon Lattimore and Wisconsin OT Ryan Ramczyk. The Saints are hoping the personnel changes will help them avoid a fourth-straight 7-9 season and get back above .500 as they seek their first playoff appearance since 2013, their longest postseason drought of the Brees era.

Brees had his best season since 2011 last year, completing 70% of his passes for a NFL-best 5,208 yards and 37 touchdowns, with 15 interceptions. WR Michael Thomas had 72 receptions for 1,137 yards and 9 touchdowns. WR Willie Snead added 72 catches for 895 yards and 4 touchdowns, with TE Coby Fleener grabbing 50 balls for 631 yards and 3 touchdowns. With the Panthers last year, Ginn had 54 receptions for 752 yards and 4 touchdowns. On the ground, Ingram carried the ball 205 times for 1,043 yards and 6 touchdowns, adding 46 receptions and 4 receiving touchdowns through the air. Peterson played in just three games with the Vikings last year, totaling 37 carries for 72 yards for a subpar 1.9 yards/rush average. The Saints offense scored the second-most points in the league last year, but the defense allowed the second-most points.

As noted, Brees is coming off one of his best seasons in a while, but at 38 it would not be surprising to see him start to go down the backside of his career. Losing Cooks, who had the most receiving yards on the team in 2016, is a big deal, and Ginn likely won’t be able to make up a lot of the production he had. Peterson is a wild card in the running game. He’s 32, so he’s getting a bit old for a running back, but he’s only played one full season in the last three due to suspensions and injuries, which could be a positive in helping him seem younger on the field than you would expect from a player of his age. Regardless, he will likely remain the No. 2 back behind Ingram, who is still seemingly in the prime of his career at 27 years old.

In a scheduling move that was likely intentional by the league, the Saints open the season on the road at Peterson’s former team, the Vikings, in the first game of the Week 1 Monday night doubleheader. Next up on their schedule is a Week 2 home game against the Super Bowl LI champion Patriots. The Saints then visit the Panthers and play the Dolphins in London in Weeks 3 and 4, respectively, before getting a Week 5 bye. Three straight games against NFC North foes are next, with the Lions coming to the Superdome in Week 6, the Packers hosting New Orleans at Lambeau Field in Week 7, and the Bears visiting the Saints in Week 8. The Buccaneers are on the slate in Week 9, followed by a game at the Bills in Week 10. The second game against the Panthers comes at home in Week 13. The Saints face the Falcons twice in a three-week span, with the first meeting coming in Atlanta in Week 14 for the Thursday night game and the return game in New Orleans in Week 16. The Saints finish out the regular season on the road in Week 17 against the Bucs. That’s not a good schedule for a team with a bad defense like the Saints have because there are a lot of good offenses there. I’m thinking the Saints are going to be around a .500 team this season.

Source: http://www.neworleanssaints.com, http://www.pro-football-reference.com

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4th Annual 32 in 32ish NFL Previews: Carolina Panthers

As our previews of all 32 NFL teams continue, we move on to the next team in the NFC South, the Carolina Panthers, who finished in last place in the division last season.

A year after going 15-1, the Panthers finished 2016 with a disappointing 6-10 record behind a subpar season from QB Cam Newton, who failed to throw for 20 touchdowns a season after earning NFL MVP honors. They tried to improve their offense in the early part of the draft, taking Stanford RB Christian McCaffrey as the No. 8 overall pick and making Ohio St. WR Curtis Samuel their second-round pick. McCaffrey is expected to see a lot of action right away as the backup to veteran RB Jonathan Stewart and as an action in the passing game, catching passes out of the backfield. The team is also welcoming back a familiar face with the signing of free-agent DE Julius Peppers, who began his career with the Panthers, playing with them from 2002-2009.

In 15 games last season — 14 starts — Newton completed just 52.9% of his passes for 3,509 yards and 19 touchdowns with 14 interceptions. Newton also rushed for 359 yards and 5 touchdowns. TE Greg Olsen’s 80 receptions was a team high. He totaled 1,073 receiving yards with 3 touchdowns. WR Kelvin Benjamin faded a bit after a good start to the season, finishing with 63 catches for 941 yards and 7 touchdowns. Stewart led the rushing attack with 218 carries for 824 yards and 9 touchdowns. The offense was middle-of-the-pack, scoring the 15-most points in the league. The defense allowed the seventh-most points but was tied for the fourth-most interceptions with 17.

With his track record of success in the league, I don’t expect Newton to have another season with numbers similar to last year.He may not return to the level of his 2015 MVP campaign, but 20-25 passing touchdowns should be attainable for the quarterback. Olsen is one of the best tight ends in the league, but the Panthers don’t have much depth in the receiving game behind him and Benjamin. That is where McCaffrey could be a help, He had 99 receptions in three seasons at Stanford, giving Newton someone to throw to in the backfield when McCaffrey is not running the ball to give Stewart a breather. At 37, Peppers obviously isn’t as good as he was in his prime, but he still had 7.5 sacks last year with the Packers. He could provide some help for a defense that didn’t do great last year.

The 2017 Panthers schedule begins with what looks to be a relatively easy road game against the 49ers. The Panthers then go home to play the Bills in Week 2 and the Saints in Week 3. They hit the road again in Week 4, heading to Foxboro to take on the defending Super Bowl champion Patriots. After a Week 5 game at the Lions, the Panthers return home for a Thursday night game against the Eagles. The Panthers face the Falcons at home in Week 9 before a Monday night game against the Dolphins in Week 10. Week 11 is when the Panthers finally get their bye, which is followed by consecutive road games against the Jets and Saints. A couple NFC North opponents follow, with the Vikings in Week 14 and Packers in Week 15 — both at home. The Panthers host the Buccaneers in Week 16 before hitting the road to finish the season against the Falcons in Week 17. I think the Panthers will win eight or nine games this season, better than last year but not likely to get them in the playoffs.

Source: http://www.panthers.com, http://www.pro-football-reference.com

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4th Annual 32 in 32ish NFL Previews: Atlanta Falcons

As our previews of all 32 NFL teams continue, we turn our attention to the NFC South, beginning the division with the Atlanta Falcons, who won the division last season and made the second Super Bowl appearance in franchise history.

The Falcons’ season ended on a bitter note in February, giving up a 28-3 lead to lose to the Patriots in Super Bowl LI by a score of 34-28. Leading up to that, though, the Falcons had a strong year in which they finished the regular season 11-5 to secure their first division title since 2012. The team didn’t have any notable additions in the offseason, so the front office must think the team the Falcons had last season is good enough to have similar success in 2017. The team made UCLA DE Takkarist McKinley its first-round draft pick.

QB Matt Ryan had the best season of his career in 2016, completing 69.9% of his passes for 4,944 yards and 38 touchdowns, with 7 interceptions — all career bests. The bulk of his production went to WR Julio Jones, who recorded 83 receptions for 1,409 yards but just 6 touchdowns in 14 games. WR Mohamed Sanu played 15 games, with 59 receptions for 653 yards and 4 touchdowns. RB Devonta Freeman ran the ball 227 times for 1,079 yards and 11 touchdowns;l he added 54 receptions for 462 yards and 2 touchdowns in the passing game. RB Tevin Coleman had 118 rushing yards in 13 games, totaling 520 yards and 8 touchdowns, in addition to 3 receiving touchdowns on 31 receptions. Not surprisingly with the numbers Ryan put up, the Falcons’ offense scored the most points in the NFL last season, and their 540 points was 71 points better than the No. 2 team. They needed to score a lot because the defense allowed opponents to score the sixth-most points in the league.

When a player has a career year, you expect him to slip back a bit the next season so don’t expect Ryan to get close to 5,000 yards this season, but 4,500 yards or better is likely given that he’s surpassed that number every season since 2012. He still has all of his offensive weapons entering the year, and I expect TE Austin Hooper to take a step forward in 2017 after a rookie season that saw his reps increase as the year went on. One thing to note is the team has a new offensive coordinator in Steve Sarkisian, who replaces Kyle Shanahan, who got the head coaching job in San Francisco this offseason. With the way the offense played last year, I wouldn’t expect Sarkisian to stay from the offensive game plan that obviously worked well in 2016.

The Falcons open their post-Super Bowl season on the road against the Bears in Week 1. They get a home game in Week 2 as they play their first regular-season game at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, hosting the Packers on Sunday night. Up next on the schedule is a road game at the Lions, followed by a home game against the Bills in Week 4. That leads into an early bye in Week 5, followed by a home contest with the Dolphins. Week 7 has a Super Bowl rematch on tap as the Falcons head to Gillette Stadium to try to avenge their overtime loss to the Patriots. They host the Cowboys in Week 10 and then take a cross-country flight to Seattle to take on the Seahawks in Week 11’s Monday night contest. A divisional battle with the Buccaneers in Atlanta follows in Week 12. Another primetime game is slated for Week 14, with the Falcons hosting the Saints on Thursday night. The same teams meet two weeks later, this time at the Superdome in New Orleans in Week 16. The Falcons finish out their regular season schedule at home against the Panthers in Week 17. I think the Falcons are looking at a 10-12 win season this year, and I’m leaning more toward the higher end of the range.

Source: http://www.atlantafalcons.com, http://www.pro-football-reference.com

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4th Annual 32 in 32ish NFL Previews: Minnesota Vikings

Our previews of all 32 NFL teams over the course of 32 days leading up to the start of the season, continues as the NFC North comes to an end with the Minnesota Vikings, who had a third-place finish the division last season.

The Vikings were dealt a major blow in training camp last season when QB Teddy Bridgewater suffered a torn ACL that caused him to miss the season. That caused the Vikings to trade for QB Sam Bradford, who led the team to an 8-8 record a season after an 11-5 record and division title. Bridgewater is still on the PUP list, so he’ll be out until at least Week 6 if he doesn’t come off the list before the end of the preseason, which means Bradford will remain the team’s starter heading into the season, with QB Case Keenum backing him up after signing a deal with the team in the offseason. For the first time since the 2006 season, RB Adrian Peterson won’t be on the Vikings’ roster after the team declined to pick up the option on his contract. They selected FSU RB Dalvin Cook with their first pick in the draft, likely expecting him to be Peterson’s long-term replacement. The team also lost RB Matt Asiata and WR Cordarrelle Patterson in free agency, leaving some holes on the offense that the team is trying to fill by signing RBs Bishop Sankey — who suffered a torn ACL in the team’s preseason opener and will miss the season — and Latavius Murray and WR Michael Floyd.

Bradford stayed healthy, which has been difficult for him in the past, and played 15 games. He completed a league-high 71.6% of his passes, setting a new career high of 3,877 yards, with 20 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. WR Adam Thielen surprisingly led the team with 967 yards on 69 receptions; he had 5 receiving touchdowns. WR Stefon Diggs recorded a team-high 84 catches for 903 yards and 3 touchdowns, and TE Kyle Rudolph was right behind him with 83 catches for 840 yards and 7 touchdowns. With Peterson out for most of the season, RB Jerick McKinnon split starting running back duties with Asiata, going carrying the ball 159 times for 539 yards and 2 touchdowns. He added 43 receptions for 255 yards and 2 receiving touchdowns out of the backfield. In 14 games with the Raiders last season, Murray ran for 788 yards and 4 touchdowns on 195 carries. All told, the Vikings’ offense ranked 23rd in the NFL in points scored for the season, while the defense allowed the sixth-fewest points in the league.

If Thielen can have a similar season to what he did last year and Rudolph can follow up his career year with another strong season, to go along with a potential 1,000-yard season from Diggs, the passing game should do fine for the Vikings. It can be even better if Floyd can contribute better numbers than the 488 yards he had between the Cardinals and Patriots last season. For the second year in a row, the running game is where the biggest question marks exist. Murray should help the unit, but Cook is looking like I could be in store to get a large portion of the carries; he was listed as the No. 1 running back on the team’s initial depth chart during camp.

The Vikings won’t have to wait long to see Peterson again as they host the Saints, his new team, in Week 1’s Monday night game. Their schedule then takes them to Pittsburgh to take on the Steelers in Week 2. The Vikings face their divisional foes in three straight weeks, when they host the Lions in Week 4, visit the Bears on Monday night in Week 5 and play the Packers at home in Week 6. They have a Week 9 bye, which is sandwiched between road games — at the Browns in Week 8 and visiting the Redskins in Week 10. They visit the Lions in Week 12 for the first game of the Thanksgiving tripleheader, then get extra rest before heading to Atlanta to take on the Falcons in Week 13. They host the Bengals in Week 15, head to Lambeau Field to take on the Packers in primetime in Week 16 and finish the season at home against the Bears. I think the Vikings are looking at another .500 season in 2017.

Sources: http://www.vikings.com, http://www.pro-football-reference.com

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4th Annual 32 in 32ish NFL Previews: Green Bay Packers

The next NFC North team in our continuing preview of all 32 NFL teams over the course of 32 days (or so) leading up to the start of the 2017 season is the Green Bay Packers, who are coming off a first-place finish in the division.

The Packers came within a game of making Super Bowl LI last season, falling to the Falcons in the NFC Championship. In the Aaron Rodgers era, the Packers have consistently had one of the top offenses in the NFL, and they added to it in the offseason by signing free-agent TEs Lance Kendricks and Martellus Bennett in an attempt to beef up a weak point of their offense. They’ll join a receiving core led by WRs Jordy Nelson and Davante Adams. There could be some questions with their running game, with WR-turned-RB Ty Montgomery expected to be the No. 1 back heading into the season.

Rodgers had one of the best seasons of his career last year — a high bar to cross — throwing for 4,428 yards and a league-leading 40 touchdowns, with 7 interceptions. He threw 14 of those touchdown passes to Nelson, who had 97 receptions for 1,257 yards. Adams had 75 receptions for 997 yards and 12 scores. WR Randall Cobb had decent production in the 10 games he played, grabbing 60 balls for 610 yards and 4 touchdowns. Montgomery had 44 catches for 348 yards. After being converted to a running back in the latter part of the season due to injuries, he became the team’s lead running back. Overall for the season, he had a team-high 77 attempts for 457 yards and 3 rushing touchdowns. Rodgers had the second-most rushing yards on the team, with RBs Eddie Lacy — who is now with the Seahawks — and James Starks limited in playing time by injuries. With the Patriots last season, Bennett had 55 receptions for 701 yards and 7 touchdowns, and Kendricks totaled 499 yards and 2 touchdowns on 50 catches for the Rams. The offense scored the fourth-most points in the league last season, and the defense was ranked in the bottom third of the league in points allowed.

If the Packers can get good production out of the running game, they should have one of the league’s best offenses again in 2017. The Rodgers-Nelson combo has been one of the best over the last several years when both are healthy. Adams is a strong No. 2 receiver, and the tight ends the team signed should be a vast improvement over what they got out of TEs Jared Cook and Richard Rodgers a season ago. With the defense not doing well last season and no major players signed on that side of the ball, the Packers are likely going to have to put a lot of points on the board to win games. They went with defensive players with their first four picks of the draft, including Washington CB Kevin King in the second round, but you never know how much success a player will have in his rookie year in the league.

The Packers’ schedule kicks off with a home game in Week 1 against the Seahawks, who should be among the better teams in the NFC this season. It doesn’t get easier in Week 2 when the Packers do battle with the Falcons as they open up their new stadium in the Sunday night game. They have a primetime rivalry game, taking on the Bears at Lambeau Field in Week 4’s Thursday nighter. The Packers then face the Cowboys on the road in Week 5, then travel to Minneapolis to take on the Vikings — likely their biggest competition in the division — in Week 6. They host the Saints in Week 7, then get their bye and come back to host the Lions in Week 9. The Packers face the Steelers in Pittsburgh in a primetime contest in Week 12. They end the season with back-to-back divisional contests, hosting the Vikings in a Saturday night special in Week 16 and visiting the Lions in Week 17. I think the Packers should at least match last year’s 10-win total, and they could improve upon that by a game or two, depending on how well the defense plays.

Sources: http://www.packers.com, http://www.pro-football-reference.com

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